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Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2

02 May 2026 16:30 UTC

CASTELLON vs CORDOBA

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Cordoba won Last goal: Castellon

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Adrián Fuentes — Cordoba
  2. ⚽ Adrián Fuentes — Cordoba
  3. ⚽ Alvaro Garcia — Castellon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Cordoba
90-minute result: Cordoba
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 416 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 402 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
298 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
227 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
182 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
312 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
367 predictions

Match overview