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Estonia · Meistriliiga

30 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

FLORA TALLINN vs HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL

Final 5:0

Flora Tallinn won Last goal: Flora Tallinn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vladislav Kreida — Flora Tallinn
  2. ⚽ Rauno Sappinen — Flora Tallinn
  3. ⚽ Remo Valdmets — Flora Tallinn
  4. ⚽ Sergei Zenjov — Flora Tallinn

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Taaniel Usta — Flora Tallinn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Flora Tallinn
90-minute result: Flora Tallinn
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 150 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
95 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
72 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
108 predictions

Match overview