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Scotland · Championship

01 May 2026 18:45 UTC

GREENOCK MORTON vs AIRDRIEONIANS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Greenock Morton

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Euan Henderson — Airdrieonians
  2. 🟥 Lewis Strapp (straight red) — Airdrieonians
  3. ⚽ Curtis Main — Greenock Morton

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Greenock Morton
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 167 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 174 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
129 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
160 predictions

Match overview