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Scotland · Championship

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

ROSS COUNTY vs GREENOCK MORTON

Final 4:0

Ross County won Last goal: Ross County

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Akil Wright — Ross County
  2. ⚽ Jordan White — Ross County

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Noah Chilvers — Ross County
  2. ⚽ Ryan Duncan — Ross County

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Greenock Morton
90-minute result: Ross County
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
91 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview