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Scotland · Championship

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

QUEEN'S PARK vs DUNFERMLINE

Final 0:2

Dunfermline won Last goal: Dunfermline

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen — Dunfermline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Chris Kane — Dunfermline

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Queen's Park
90-minute result: Dunfermline
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 170 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
125 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview