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Estonia · Meistriliiga

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

NOMME UNITED vs FC KURESSAARE

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Nomme United won Last goal: Nomme United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Karl Laanelaid — Nomme United

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Rasmus Saar (straight red) — FC Kuressaare
  2. ⚽ Johann Vahermaegi — FC Kuressaare
  3. ⚽ Andre Frolov (penalty) — Nomme United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Nomme United
90-minute result: Nomme United
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 15% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 145 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 123 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
90 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
100 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
105 predictions

Match overview