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Poland · Ekstraklasa

27 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

PIAST GLIWICE vs ARKA GDYNIA

Final 4:1

Piast Gliwice won Last goal: Piast Gliwice

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Quentin Boisgard — Piast Gliwice

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Filip Borowski — Piast Gliwice
  2. ⚽ Dawid Kocyla — Arka Gdynia
  3. ⚽ Igor Drapinski — Piast Gliwice
  4. ⚽ Hugo Vallejo — Piast Gliwice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
37%
1X2
Piast Gliwice
90-minute result: Piast Gliwice
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 260 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
179 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
89 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview