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Poland · Ekstraklasa

25 Apr 2026 15:30 UTC

LECHIA GDANSK vs RAKOW CZESTOCHOWA

Final 1:2

Rakow Czestochowa won Last goal: Rakow Czestochowa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tomás Bobcek (penalty) — Lechia Gdansk
  2. ⚽ Oskar Repka — Rakow Czestochowa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jonatan Braut Brunes — Rakow Czestochowa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Rakow Czestochowa
90-minute result: Rakow Czestochowa
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 253 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
174 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
165 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
201 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
122 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
55 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
223 predictions

Match overview