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Poland · Ekstraklasa

26 Apr 2026 12:45 UTC

WIDZEW LODZ vs MOTOR LUBLIN

Final 2:0

Widzew Lodz won Last goal: Widzew Lodz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Isaac — Widzew Lodz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lukas Lerager — Widzew Lodz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Motor Lublin
90-minute result: Widzew Lodz
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
4:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 256 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 257 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
176 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
56 predictions
Total 4.5 13% (Weak)
31 predictions

Match overview