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Wales · Premier League · Premier League CL Playoff

26 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

BARRY TOWN vs HAVERFORDWEST

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Haverfordwest advanced Last goal: Haverfordwest

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Hulbert — Barry Town

2nd half

  1. Walters — Haverfordwest

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 182 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 184 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
45 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
137 predictions

Match overview