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Wales · Premier League · Premier League Championship Group

18 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

CONNAH'S QUAY NOMADS vs COLWYN BAY

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Callum West — Connah's Quay Nomads
  2. ⚽ Jamie Cumming — Colwyn Bay

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Colwyn Bay
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
132 predictions

Match overview