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Wales · Premier League · Premier League Championship Group

18 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

BARRY TOWN vs TNS

Final 0:1

TNS won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ryan Brobbel — TNS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: TNS
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 175 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 177 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
69 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
132 predictions

Match overview