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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

22 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

ASTERAS TRIPOLIS vs PANETOLIKOS

Final 2:1

Asteras Tripolis won Last goal: Asteras Tripolis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Farley Rosa — Panetolikos
  2. ⚽ Julian Bartolo — Asteras Tripolis

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Federico Macheda — Asteras Tripolis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Asteras Tripolis
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 196 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
36 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
176 predictions

Match overview