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Scotland · Championship

24 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

ST. JOHNSTONE vs RAITH ROVERS

Final 2:0 Almanac Moment

St. Johnstone won Last goal: St. Johnstone

Match timeline

1st half

  1. James Gullan (penalty) — St. Johnstone
  2. James Gullan — St. Johnstone

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 162 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 169 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
124 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview