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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

23 Apr 2026 01:30 UTC

UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTES vs DEPORTIVO GARCILASO

Final 4:1

Universitario de Deportes won Last goal: Universitario de Deportes

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Álex Valera — Universitario de Deportes
  2. ⚽ Caín Fara — Universitario de Deportes

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Álex Valera (penalty) — Universitario de Deportes
  2. ⚽ Christopher Olivares — Deportivo Garcilaso
  3. ⚽ Jose Rivera — Universitario de Deportes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Deportivo Garcilaso
90-minute result: Universitario de Deportes
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
52%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
28%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 282 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview