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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

25 Apr 2026 20:30 UTC

COMERCIANTES UNIDOS vs SPORTING CRISTAL

Final 1:0

Comerciantes Unidos won Last goal: Comerciantes Unidos

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matias Sen — Comerciantes Unidos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Comerciantes Unidos
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 110 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
74 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview