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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

22 Apr 2026 20:15 UTC

ATLETICO GRAU vs SPORTING CRISTAL

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Atletico Grau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ José Ataupillco — Atletico Grau

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 107 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
188 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
234 predictions

Match preview