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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

25 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

CLUB DEPORTIVO MOQUEGUA vs FC CAJAMARCA

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Club Deportivo Moquegua won Last goal: FC Cajamarca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ricardo Chipao — Club Deportivo Moquegua
  2. 🟥 Hairo Timana (straight red) — FC Cajamarca

2nd half

  1. Cristian Mejia — Club Deportivo Moquegua
  2. Brandon Palacios — FC Cajamarca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 91 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 283 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 22 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview