FBC MELGAR vs UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTES
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
25% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
26% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 277 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 245 completed matches.
1X2
48% (Average)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
62% (Good)
Total 2.5
51% (Average)
Total 3.5
68% (Strong)
Total 4.5
84% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 51 past matches
1X2
43% (Weak)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
55% (Average)
Total 2.5
53% (Average)
Total 3.5
63% (Good)
Total 4.5
90% (Strong)
Score
6% (Weak)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
48% (Average)
176 predictions
Both teams to score
48% (Average)
119 predictions
Total 1.5
30% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5
76% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 4.5
89% (Strong)
230 predictions