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Greece · Super League · Super League Championship Group

19 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

PANATHINAIKOS vs OLYMPIACOS

Final 0:2

Olympiacos won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gelson Martins — Olympiacos
  2. ⚽ Rodinei — Olympiacos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Panathinaikos
90-minute result: Olympiacos
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 191 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 194 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
158 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
174 predictions

Match overview