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Europe · UEFA Youth League · UEFA Youth League Final Stage

20 Apr 2026 16:45 UTC

CLUB BRUGGE U19 vs REAL MADRID U19

Final 1:1

Real Madrid U19 advanced Last goal: Real Madrid U19

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Jacobo Ortega — Real Madrid U19

2nd half

  1. Tobias Lund Jensen — Club Brugge U19

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 14% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 218 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 213 completed matches.

1X2 14% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 30% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 14% (Weak)
43 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 1.5 8% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
153 predictions

Match overview