← Back to matches

Europe · UEFA Youth League · UEFA Youth League Final Stage

18 Mar 2026 13:00 UTC

REAL MADRID U19 vs SPORTING CP U19

Final 2:1

Real Madrid U19 won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Flavio Goncalves — Sporting CP U19

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jacobo Ortega — Real Madrid U19
  2. ⚽ Roberto Martín — Real Madrid U19

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Sporting CP U19
90-minute result: Real Madrid U19
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
167 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
185 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
108 predictions
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview