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Spain · Copa del Rey

18 Apr 2026 19:00 UTC

ATLETICO MADRID vs REAL SOCIEDAD

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ander Barrenetxea — Real Sociedad
  2. ⚽ Ademola Lookman — Atletico Madrid
  3. ⚽ Mikel Oyarzabal — Real Sociedad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Julián Alvarez — Atletico Madrid

Model prediction

Good
43%
1X2
Draw
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Strong
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
53%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Weak
53%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Good
74%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 15% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 116 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 116 completed matches.

1X2 6% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 6% (Weak)
33 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
104 predictions

Match preview