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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2

13 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

READING ACADEMY vs DERBY COUNTY ACADEMY

Final 4:1

Reading Academy won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luke Howard — Reading Academy
  2. ⚽ Justin Oguntolu — Derby County Academy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sean Patton — Reading Academy
  2. 🟥 Marley Mintus — Derby County Academy
  3. ⚽ David Hicks — Reading Academy
  4. ⚽ Sean Patton — Reading Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Reading Academy
90-minute result: Reading Academy
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 276 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
Total 4.5 47% (Average)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
201 predictions

Match overview