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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2

10 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

ASTON VILLA ACADEMY vs MIDDLESBROUGH ACADEMY

Final 0:2

Middlesbrough Academy won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ George McCormick — Middlesbrough Academy
  2. ⚽ Layton Campbell — Middlesbrough Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Middlesbrough Academy
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 269 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 56% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
56 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
194 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
195 predictions

Match overview