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England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2

13 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

MANCHESTER CITY ACADEMY vs NORWICH CITY ACADEMY

Final 3:0

Manchester City Academy won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Christian McFarlane — Manchester City Academy
  2. Matthew Warhurst — Manchester City Academy

2nd half

  1. Sverre Halseth Nypan — Manchester City Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 276 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 92% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 54% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
245 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
201 predictions

Match overview