← Back to matches

England · Professional Development League · Premier League 2

12 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

STOKE CITY ACADEMY vs SOUTHAMPTON ACADEMY

Final 1:0

Stoke City Academy won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gabriel Kelly — Stoke City Academy
  2. 🟥 Nicholas Oyekunle — Southampton Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Stoke City Academy
90-minute result: Stoke City Academy
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 274 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 274 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 56% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 35 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview