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Scotland · League One

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH vs COVE RANGERS

Final 2:0

Queen of the South won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Benjamin Luissint — Queen of the South
  2. Reece Lyon — Queen of the South

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 150 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
140 predictions

Match overview