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Scotland · League One

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

EAST FIFE vs PETERHEAD

Final 2:1

East Fife won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Brian Easton — East Fife

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Craig McGuffie — Peterhead
  2. ⚽ Sam Culbert — East Fife

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Peterhead
90-minute result: East Fife
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 150 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
140 predictions

Match overview