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Scotland · League One

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

KELTY HEARTS vs MONTROSE

Final 3:1

Kelty Hearts won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aaron Arnott — Kelty Hearts
  2. ⚽ Blair Lyons — Montrose
  3. ⚽ Cammy Cooper — Kelty Hearts
  4. ⚽ Cammy Cooper — Kelty Hearts

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Kelty Hearts
90-minute result: Kelty Hearts
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 150 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
140 predictions

Match overview