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England · National League Premier · National League

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

FOREST GREEN vs BRAINTREE TOWN

Final 3:1

Forest Green won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ D'Mani Mellor — Forest Green

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lewis Walker — Braintree Town
  2. ⚽ Tom Knowles — Forest Green
  3. ⚽ Nick Haughton — Forest Green

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Forest Green
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 138 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 478 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 502 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
295 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
411 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
233 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
355 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
438 predictions

Match overview