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England · National League Premier · National League

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

ALTRINCHAM vs EASTLEIGH

Final 1:0

Altrincham won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tom Crawford — Altrincham

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Altrincham
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 138 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 478 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 502 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
127 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
207 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
233 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
355 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
438 predictions

Match overview