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England · National League Premier · National League

11 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

BOSTON UNITED vs TRURO CITY

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Boston United won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jordy Hiwula-Mayifuila — Boston United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Boston United
90-minute result: Boston United
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 129 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 478 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 502 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
375 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
207 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
233 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
355 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
438 predictions

Match overview