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Russia · Cup

18 Mar 2026 17:45 UTC

SPARTAK MOSCOW vs DINAMO MOSCOW

Final 1:0

Spartak Moscow won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christopher Wooh — Spartak Moscow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Spartak Moscow
90-minute result: Spartak Moscow
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 79 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 79 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 17 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
53 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
57 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
46 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
64 predictions

Match overview