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Russia · Cup

04 Mar 2026 15:30 UTC

FC ROSTOV vs DYNAMO MAKHACHKALA

Final 0:2

Dynamo Makhachkala won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Andrey Langovich — FC Rostov
  2. ⚽ Houssem Mrezigue — Dynamo Makhachkala
  3. ⚽ Mehdi Moubarik — Dynamo Makhachkala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
FC Rostov
90-minute result: Dynamo Makhachkala
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 73 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 73 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 13 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 23% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
60 predictions

Match overview