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Russia · Cup

04 Mar 2026 17:45 UTC

CSKA MOSCOW vs FC KRASNODAR

Final 3:1

CSKA Moscow won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ David Cobnan — FC Krasnodar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kirill Glebov — CSKA Moscow
  2. ⚽ Danil Krugovoy — CSKA Moscow
  3. 🟥 Giovanni González — FC Krasnodar
  4. ⚽ Matheus Alves — CSKA Moscow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
CSKA Moscow
90-minute result: CSKA Moscow
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 73 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 73 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
60 predictions

Match overview