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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

17 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

VVV-VENLO vs JONG AJAX

Final 0:1

Jong Ajax won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ David Kalokoh — Jong Ajax

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
37%
1X2
Jong Ajax
90-minute result: Jong Ajax
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 306 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
240 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
229 predictions

Match overview