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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

20 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

CAMBUUR vs JONG AZ ALKMAAR

Final 3:4

Jong AZ Alkmaar won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jasper Hartog — Jong AZ Alkmaar
  2. ⚽ Iwan Henstra — Cambuur

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jesper Zwart — Jong AZ Alkmaar
  2. ⚽ Ichem Ferrah — Cambuur
  3. ⚽ Ichem Ferrah — Cambuur
  4. 🟥 Remco Balk — Cambuur
  5. ⚽ Yoel van den Ban — Jong AZ Alkmaar
  6. ⚽ Bendeguz Kovacs — Jong AZ Alkmaar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
90-minute result: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 310 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
211 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 28% (Weak)
78 predictions

Match overview