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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

17 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

ALMERE CITY FC vs RKC WAALWIJK

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Harrie Kuster — RKC Waalwijk
  2. ⚽ Roshon van Eijma — Almere City FC
  3. ⚽ Jesper Uneken — RKC Waalwijk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luuk Wouters — Almere City FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
RKC Waalwijk
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 306 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
240 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
209 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
77 predictions

Match overview