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France · Ligue 2

16 Mar 2026 19:45 UTC

ANNECY FC vs TROYES

Final 1:2

Troyes won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dion Sahi — Annecy FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Anis Ouzenadji — Troyes
  2. ⚽ Renaud Ripart — Troyes
  3. 🟥 Valentin Jacob — Annecy FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Troyes
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 236 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
225 predictions

Match overview