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France · Ligue 2

14 Mar 2026 13:00 UTC

RED STAR vs DUNKERQUE

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Red Star won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kévin Cabral — Red Star

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Red Star
90-minute result: Red Star
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 232 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 17% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
171 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
222 predictions

Match overview