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France · Ligue 2

13 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

MONTPELLIER vs LAVAL

Final 2:0

Montpellier won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Théo Sainte-Luce — Montpellier
  2. ⚽ Nicolas Pays — Montpellier

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
40%
1X2
Laval
90-minute result: Montpellier
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
195 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
217 predictions

Match overview