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France · Ligue 2

13 Mar 2026 19:00 UTC

CLERMONT FOOT vs PAU

Final 0:1

Pau won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Giovani Versini — Pau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 227 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 228 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
173 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
195 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
217 predictions

Match overview