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Australia · A-League · A-League Men

17 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC

WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS FC vs NEWCASTLE JETS

Final 1:2

Newcastle Jets won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joe Shaughnessy — Newcastle Jets
  2. ⚽ Eli Adams — Newcastle Jets

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Awan Lual — Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Underdog
40%
1X2
Newcastle Jets
90-minute result: Newcastle Jets
Off target
61%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 78 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 68 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 22 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
52 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
30 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
54 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
62 predictions

Match overview