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Australia · A-League · A-League Men

16 Jan 2026 10:45 UTC

PERTH GLORY vs BRISBANE ROAR FC

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Brisbane Roar FC won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adam Taggart — Perth Glory
  2. ⚽ Chris Long — Brisbane Roar FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Klein — Brisbane Roar FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
37%
1X2
Brisbane Roar FC
90-minute result: Brisbane Roar FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 76 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 68 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 23 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 74% (Strong)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
52 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
38 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
54 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
62 predictions

Match overview