← Back to matches

Spain · Copa del Rey

13 Jan 2026 20:00 UTC

CULTURAL LEONESA vs ATHLETIC CLUB

Final 3:4

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Iván Calero — Cultural Leonesa
  2. ⚽ Gorka Guruzeta — Athletic Club
  3. ⚽ Iván Calero — Cultural Leonesa
  4. ⚽ Gorka Guruzeta — Athletic Club
  5. ⚽ Rubén Sobrino — Cultural Leonesa
  6. ⚽ Oihan Sancet — Athletic Club

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Aitor Paredes — Athletic Club

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Unai Gómez — Athletic Club

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
48%
1X2
Athletic Club
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
53%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
74%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 100 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 100 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
40 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
90 predictions

Match overview