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Scotland · Challenge Cup · Challenge Cup Final Stage

13 Jan 2026 19:45 UTC

ST. JOHNSTONE vs ROSS COUNTY

Final 2:0

St. Johnstone won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josh McPake — St. Johnstone

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Louis Lloyd — St. Johnstone

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
St. Johnstone
90-minute result: St. Johnstone
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 76% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 101 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 108 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 58% (Good)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
89 predictions
Both teams to score 32% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 2.5 24% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
94 predictions

Match overview