ARBROATH vs AIRDRIEONIANS
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
5% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
13% (Low)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 107 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 114 completed matches.
1X2
43% (Weak)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
76% (Strong)
Total 2.5
54% (Average)
Total 3.5
50% (Average)
Total 4.5
58% (Good)
Score
4% (Risky)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 3 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
1X2
33% (Weak)
Both teams to score
67% (Strong)
Total 1.5
67% (Strong)
Total 2.5
33% (Weak)
Total 3.5
0% (Weak)
Total 4.5
33% (Weak)
Score
0% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
5% (Weak)
20 predictions
Both teams to score
64% (Good)
67 predictions
Total 1.5
89% (Strong)
93 predictions
Total 2.5
24% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 3.5
49% (Average)
77 predictions
Total 4.5
65% (Good)
99 predictions