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England · FA Cup

10 Jan 2026 15:00 UTC

IPSWICH vs BLACKPOOL

Final 2:1

Ipswich won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jaden Philogene — Ipswich

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jacob Greaves — Ipswich
  2. ⚽ Ashley Fletcher — Blackpool

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Ipswich
90-minute result: Ipswich
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 71% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 65 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 64 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
48 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
55 predictions
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
40 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
53 predictions

Match overview