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Brazil · Serie C

27 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

FLORESTA vs MARINGA FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Maringa FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rafinha — Floresta
  2. ⚽ Ronald Camarao — Maringa FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Maringa FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 330 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
189 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
321 predictions

Match overview